Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 82010.077568 86574.524305 91137.413514 96037.737787 101148.198215 106317.339114 111937.706388
2025-01-12 74027.148364 80981.664351 88129.171851 96013.834282 104457.309286 113217.614877 122983.299354
2025-01-19 68194.201791 76746.585617 85731.103295 95852.196899 106914.788825 118617.694024 131912.275300
2025-01-26 65021.546522 74907.616357 85481.684691 97598.156489 111061.982352 125527.850796 142208.736340
2025-02-02 62480.893052 73466.917119 85402.807413 99282.471310 114925.064360 131955.191044 151842.682723
2025-02-09 59781.668188 71621.391135 84669.761388 100046.736170 117598.686921 136934.519390 159769.752126
2025-02-16 56881.655952 69358.552404 83294.504316 99922.809864 119128.069322 140516.608850 166037.475492
2025-02-23 54682.878881 67770.273187 82569.182213 100428.866695 121278.454107 144727.717225 172967.898097
2025-03-02 52456.569909 66030.862787 81561.736726 100507.921413 122850.710362 148212.631475 179022.161459
2025-03-09 51085.117393 65227.233585 81582.197037 101729.952969 125707.851860 153153.038970 186753.282257
2025-03-16 48891.448315 63339.253729 80230.764834 101246.486160 126488.466847 155622.256775 191567.493309
2025-03-23 47923.116140 62890.062220 80558.082040 102732.447084 129581.854841 160797.335411 199571.903038
2025-03-30 46655.093729 62049.046541 80403.123265 103646.141479 132023.148373 165260.717640 206831.636813
2025-04-06 45030.150458 60707.643405 79589.853924 103719.520196 133425.185622 168479.217245 212624.033684
2025-04-13 43397.400974 59295.578132 78634.930040 103569.047121 134514.958846 171297.628792 217928.064919
2025-04-20 42839.197369 59219.778088 79318.787222 105431.983259 138068.481867 177102.295378 226868.743346
2025-04-27 42289.612389 59126.207408 79958.338476 107225.286596 141533.544108 182811.923434 235727.035333
2025-05-04 41325.887243 58458.155451 79839.474730 108038.644536 143764.339412 187009.692709 242753.353339
2025-05-11 39991.304955 57259.832376 79003.955237 107906.850609 144783.057198 189698.990874 247923.236717
2025-05-18 39019.767337 56507.994433 78713.194920 108445.240290 146628.747829 193405.376111 254358.396778
2025-05-25 37902.824884 55526.017395 78091.799753 108529.343718 147876.539972 196356.751795 259858.652513
2025-06-01 37349.024859 55281.989235 78417.912135 109829.281799 150672.932646 201253.868771 267812.101831
2025-06-08 36078.827752 54026.310805 77377.773971 109315.015870 151113.929044 203172.322148 272024.866545